Wednesday, February 28, 2007

Impact of budget on different Sectors

General

Dividend distribution tax raised to 15% from 12.5%: negative for all dividend paying companies

Dividends distributed by money market mutual funds and liquid mutual funds will now be paying dividend distribution tax at 25%.

Levy of additional 1% cess for funding of secondary and higher education

Cement

Overall impact : Negative

Increasing excise duty from Rs400 to Rs600 for price above Rs190 per bag and reducing from Rs400 to Rs350 is a negative as cement price per bag in most of the places is above Rs190 at present. With demand strong we believe the increase in the duty would be largely passed on, but continous efforts by the Government to curb the price increase and reduce the profitability of the industry is visible.

Increase in allocation for Bharat Nirman, Rural housing and roads is positive for the industry from demand side.

Oil and Gas, Petrochemicals – overall positive

Ø Reduction in ad valorem excise duties for petrol and diesel – positive for Oil Marketing Companies IOC, BPCL and HPCL.

Ø Reduction in custom duties on Plastics, polyester and intermediates – positive for Reliance Industries, GAIL, IOC and IPCL

Ø Infrastructure status to cross-country pipeline projects – positive for Reliance Industries, GAIL, GSPL, Gujarat Gas and Indraprastha Gas Ltd.

Ø Extension of service tax to mining of oil and gas – marginally negative for ONGC, Reliance, and Cairn India

Healthcare: Positive

Announcement

Impact on Companies

Healthcare allocation increased

Positive for Apollo Group, Max India

Allocation for immunization program

Positive for Panacea Biotech

HIV eradication to gain momentum

Positive for MNC, Cipla, Wockhardt

150% weighted average tax deduction for R&D expenses extended for 5 years

Positive for research driven pharma companies-Ranbaxy, DRRL, Sun Pharma, Cadila Healthcare, Biocon, Glenmark

Peak customs duty on chemicals reduced from 12.5% to 7.5%

Positive for API manufacturing companies

Removal of clinical trials from service tax net

Positive for research and CRO companies

Medical insurance deduction u/s 80DD increased to Rs15,000

Positive for Apollo Group, Max India as more population would be covered by medical insurance

Telecom: Positive

Announcement

Impact on Companies

Committee to be formed to move towards a uniform licensee fee regime from 6-10% to an estimated 6%

Positive for all telecom companies, benefit to


IT

Impact – Negative (as surprising, the impact can be deeper and sharper)

· Higher education allocation by 34.2% to Rs32,352cr to be positive for IT education companies like NIIT, Aptech, Educomp Solutions, etc.

· Almost doubling of e-Governance outlay both at centre and state level to benefit companies like Vakrangee to major extent and TCS and other Government focused companies to some extent

· MAT to be applied to IT companies to 11.2% on book profits

· Inclusion of ESOPs under the FBT net negative for the sector

· Non-extension of STP benefits beyond 2009 negative especially for medium & smaller sized IT companies

Steel

Impact – Positive

· Custom duty unchanged at 5% as expected

· All coking-coal import irrespective of ash content to be fully exempt from custom duty to be positive across the sector as most companies (small & large) have exposure to coking coal imports

· Export duty of Rs300/MT levied on iron ore and concentrates: Negative for Sesa Goa esp. and large integrated players like Tata Steel and SAIL to some extent.

FMCG - Overall impact - Positive

Ø No implementation of VAT on cigarettes. Specific excise duty on cigarettes increased by about 5%.

Ø Excise duty (excluding cess) on biris, will be raised from Rs7 to Rs11 per thousand for non-machine made biris and from Rs17 to Rs24 per thousand for machine made biris. There is an exemption from excise duty for unbranded biris up to 20 lakh biris in a year.

Ø Pan masala containing tobacco will continue to bear an excise duty of 66%. However, in the case of pan masala not containing tobacco, the duty will be reduced from 66% to 45%.

Ø A Special Purpose Tea Fund launched for re-plantation and rejuvenation of tea. Government plans to soon put in place similar financial mechanisms for coffee.

Ø Excise duty biscuits fully exempted whose retail sale price does not exceed Rs50 per kilogram.

Ø Excise duty on all kinds of food mixes including instant mixes including idli and dosa mixes fully exempt.

Ø Duty on food processing machinery reduced from 7.5% to 5%.

Ø Crude as well as refined edible oils exempt from the additional CV duty of 4%.

Ø Duty on sunflower oil, both crude and refined reduced by 15 percentage points.

Ø Excise duty on parts of footwear reduced from 16% to 8%.

Power sector: Neutral

The government under achieved its Xth Five Year Plan target in capacity addition which was targeted initially to be 46,000MW, then lowered to 41,100MW and finally to 34,024MW. It achieved 23,163MW during the period. It has not made mention of the addition during the year except that they expect two more UMPP’s to be allotted by July 07.

Tata power, reliance energy, lanco, ntpc to be likely beneficiaries – dependent on competitive bidding route.

Increase in budgetary support for APDRP from Rs650crs in 2006-07 to Rs800crs next year, will help to monitor usage of power being consumed by the users – meters could likely benefit.

Meter mfg companies viz genus, emco to be likely beneficiaries

Upped allocation under Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana from Rs3000crs to Rs3983crs.

No mention made for the years target in capacity addition

Pipe mfg: Positive

Section 80IA of the Income Tax Act lists the infrastructure facilities that are entitled to tax concessions. Cross country natural gas distribution network, including gas pipeline and storage facilities integrated to the network. Pipe manufacturing companies to be likely beneficiaries

Customs duty cut announced in Jan on nonferrous metals remain same. Benefit to the capital goods segment.

Real Estate: Neutral

Service tax on Office space rentals

Impact- Negative. This is likely to increase rentals in the Metro cities which are already in the range of Rs300-350. This will negatively impact commercial real estate demand in metro cities and would percolate in the lower tier cities in the long run.

No mention of extension of Sec80 (IB) 10 for qualified projects

Impact- Neutral. This was on expected lines and we do not see this as a negative. Qualified projects receiving approval after March 2007 will not receive deduction in income tax.

Tax exemption on hotels and convention centres in the NCR region - Positive

Impact- Positive. Many NCR based real estate developers are in the process of developing 3-4-5 star hotels over the next 2-3 years. The government has provided a 5 year tax holiday for companies developing 2-3-4 star hotels and convention centres with minimum sitting capacity of 3000 persons and operational by March 2010 in the NCR region.

Banking: Neutral

No mention of lowering the maturity ceiling on tax free deposits from current 5 years

Impact– Neutral. There has been no mention on lowering maturity from the existing 5 years ceiling on tax free bank deposits. This would have increased deposit mobilization in the banking sector.

Infrastructure & Construction

Overall impact: Positive

National Highway allocation increased to Rs126bn from Rs99.55bn

Outlay for accelerated irrigation benefit programme at Rs110bn

Allocated Rs40bn for rural roads

Scheme to use forex reserves for infrastructure development

MF’s allowed to launch dedicated infrastructure funds

31.6% increase in allocation Bharat Nirman programme

Additional 2.4mn hectares of irrigated area to be created by FY08

Golden Quadrilateral nearly complete, targeted completion for NSEW 2009

NHDP phase-III, V and VI in advanced stages

Speech of P Chidambaram

Budget 2007-2008

Speech of

P. Chidambaram

Minister of Finance

February 28, 2007

Budget_Highlights_2007_08

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Tuesday, February 27, 2007

Buy Unitech for very long term









Unitech is the top stock in real estate sector.The stock is witnessing fall due to hike in interest rates.This can be next Infosys in real estate.Just buy & freeze it for 7-10 years.
You will surely get the decent gains.
I recommend strong buy on this stock.
The stock is on circuit today.

Letter from Warren Buffet to Bill Gates

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Monday, February 26, 2007

Hidden Gem for long term

Hidden Gem

Linc Pen & Plastics Ltd.

CMP - Rs. 36

BSE Code -531241

Founded in mid-70s, the Linc Group has over the past 3 decades established itself as one of the market leaders in the Writing Instrument Industry of India. Linc Pen & Plastics Ltd. came out with IPO in 1995.

The company has three state-of-the- art manufacturing units - two located in Goa and one in West Bengal. The Goa unit of Linc is ISO 9001:2000 certified.

The company, apart from manufacturing writing instruments including various types of pens, pencils, crayons and markers, under the brands Linc and Bensia also has premium brands Uniball from Mitsubishi Pencil Co of Japan and Lamy of Germany in its product portfolio. The company entered into Mitsubishi Pencil Co. of Japan and Lamy of Germany to meet the needs of buyers demanding premium products. The company also joined hands with Bensia, the highly popular manufacturer of non-sharpening pencils targeted at the Indian school-going population.

DOMESTIC & EXPORT SALES

The company has a nationwide network of Distributors and Retailers. In the export markets, the primary focus of the Company has been on private label contracts with top chain stores in UK, North Europe and USA - alongwith positioning of its brand in markets like Argentina, Tanzania, Saudi Arabia and Egypt. The company exports to roughly 30 countries with US & UK accounting for lion's share. The company figures amongst the top 5 exporters of writing instruments from India.

Linc has an impressive buyers list - these include retail stores like Dollar Tree, Office Works, CVS in USA, TESCO, Wal-Mart, W.H. Smith, John Lewis Stores in UK and COOP NORDEN Stores in Denmark, Norway and Sweden. Of the total revenues of around Rs.135 crores for FY 05-06, exports accounted for roughly Rs.20 crores. The company's plant in Kolkata has been audited and certified by Wal-Mart and TESCO. The company is also working on tie-ups for contract manufacturing with the large writing instrument manufacturers of the world.

Brand Building

The realisation that the writing instruments business involves a high degree of direct interaction with the consumer has compelled the company to step out of a "manufacturing mindset" and lay more emphasis on the consumer. The company is currently working on the company's image makeover and brand repositioning strategy. The company has been allocating higher ad spend year on year which helped Linc Pen to increase overall brand awareness against stiff competition.

From Manufacturing to Retailing

The company ventured into the retailing of pens and stationery products and is currently opening chain of stores which sell pens and stationery products - under the brands Just Linc and Office Linc. Just Linc stores focus more on pens and Office Linc stores sell all office stationery besides pens. . `Office Linc' claims to offers its customers a range of office stationery products- from pins to laptops.

`Office Linc' has roped in channel partners like Airtel, DHL, Blue Dart, Microsoft, Music World, Book Cellar, Anderson Printing, Presto, Aqua Java, SKP Moneywise and Talk, who will stock their products and provide after-sales services in the `Office Linc' stores.

The company has ambitious plans for roll out of Office Linc stores on a nationwide basis.

Strengthening Manufacturing

The company's manufacturing facilities are getting a revamp to cater to the export markets. Besides, the company, in order to have better control is strengthening its information system, is undertaking Business Process Re-engineering and implementing ERP solutions from SAP. The ERP being implemented by Price Waterhouse Coopers would connect all its branch offices and plants with the central server in Kolkata.


Conclusion

Linc Pens is a low cost manufacturer of writing instruments in India and is well placed to capitalize on the consumption boom in India. The company also has competitive strengths to be a supplier of quality writing instruments at most competitive cost to the global retail chains and be a contract manufacturer for manufacturers of writing instruments in the developed countries. The company has been focusing on brand building resulting in higher ad spend.

The company's revenues for the 9-months period have been flat with declining bottomline. This has been primarily on account of higher spends for expansion of the company's retail chains and strengthening of credit terms given by the company to its distributors. The company's Kolkata plants have been audited and certified by Wal-Mart and TESCO and the news of receipt of any major orders by the company from the global retail chains or any tie-up with global writing instrument manufacturers for contract manufacturing could lift the sentiment of the investors in the stock.

Moreover, expansion of retail chain of the company may be dampener to the profitability of the company over short term, the expansion however will lead to long term value creation for its shareholders. The stock had touched a high of Rs.85 in January 2006 when the Sensex was below 10000 and has now dropped to Rs.36, even though the sensex has climbed close to 14000.

The stock provides an attractive investment opportunity at the current levels for the long term investor.

Sunday, February 25, 2007

Recommendations for coming week



S.No.
Scrips
BSE Code
Recommended Rate
Target Rate
1.
Carol Info Services
500446
55.40
70.00
2.
Radha Madhav Corporation
532692
59.45
75.00
3.
Gupta Synthetics Ltd.
514116
78.35

98.00

4.
Sunil Hitech Engineers
532711
85.30
107.00
5.
Paradyne Infotech
532672
90.10
113.00

Target rates are expected in three months frame of time, but we recommend you that whenever any scrip touches its target rate, you must dispose of all shares or in parts(If you have invested in that scrip),so that you may be able to invest those funds in other scrips recommended in further newsletters.

1. FORTHCOMING I.P.O.'s :-

S.No.
Scrips
Face Value
Premium Issue
Open Issue
Close
Rating
1.
Abhishek Mills Ltd.
10.00
100.00
20/02/2007
26/02/2007
*
2.
Tubeknit Fashions Ltd.
10.00
110.00
21/02/2007
27/02/2007
*
3.
Page Industries Ltd.
10.00
385.00
23/02/2007
27/02/2007
*

Rating :- *** Very Good ** Good * Normal

2. SECTORS TO WATCH :-

  • Information & Technology
  • Power
  • Steel

3. STOCK IN FUTURES :-

S.No.
Scrips
BSE Code
Recommended Rate
Target Rate
Stop Loss
Analysis Report
---
---------
---------
---------
---------
---------

---------

NOTE :- Due to highly volatile market, we are not recommending stock in FUTURES this week.


4. MULTIBAGGER :-

S.No.
Company Name
BSE Code
Recommended Rate
Target Rate
(One Year)
1.
Fiem Industries Ltd.
532768
108.75
180.00


List of 1123 websites of Favorite Sectors

List of Best Websites
List of Best Websi...

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1) Legal Affairs.

26) Steel.

2) Contests.

27) Sports.

3) Cricket.

28) Animals.

4) Finance.

29) Books.

5) E-Greetings.

30) Comedy

6) Education.

31) Hobbies

7) Women.

32) Films/Movies

8) Search Engines.

33) Kids.

9) Shopping.

34) Decorations

10) Recipe.

35) Religious

11) Auction.

36) E-Barter

12) News/Entertainment.

37) Organiser

13) Web Directories.

38) Fitness

14) Travel.

39) Automobiles

15) Loans.

40) Furniture

16) Art.

41) Jewellery

17) Domain Registration.

42) Encyclopedia

18) Games.

43) Photography

19) Music.

44) History

20) Properties.

45) Maps

21) Chat.

46) Literature

22) Software Companies.

47) Quiz

23) Astrology.

48) Parenting

24) Health.

49) Banking

25) Matrimonials.

50) Others

Saturday, February 24, 2007

Best Websites for Legal Affairs

Visit these websites for Your Legal affairs

1) www.cyberlawindia.com

2) www.india-laws.com

3) www.lawinfo.com

4) www.lawsinindia.com

5) www.vakilno1.com

6) www.indiapropertylaws.com

7) www.courtsjudgements.com

8) www.lawinc.com

9) www.icj-cij.org

10) www.legiz.com

11) www.naavi.com

Disclaimer:

This blog and the opinions/break- outs mentioned therein are for informational purpose only and not a recommendation or an offer or solicitation of an offer to any person with respect to the purchase or sale of the stocks/futures discussed in this report.

I, Ayush Jain , do not accept any liability arising from the use of this blog. The recipient & reader of this material should rely on their own investigations and take professional advice. Subscribers and readers using the information contained herein are solely responsible for their actions and shall not hold the Author liable for any investment decisions/ actions or any other action (including abstaining from action) based on the Content provided. Information is obtained from sources deemed to be reliable but is not guaranteed as to accuracy and completeness. The information provided is based on the theory of Technical Analysis. All levels mentioned, including break-out, target, stoploss are only informative. Trading and investment in stock market is risky and volatile.

The information here may not be reproduced, distributed or published, in whole or in part, by any recipient hereof for any purpose without prior
permission from the author.